World

Iran Drone Attack: Everything We Know So Far

An ammunition factory in the city of Isfahan, central Iran was struck by drones at about 11:30 pm on Saturday night. Malicious media reporting and social media posts sought to spin the story into evidence of a broad, coordinated attack against the Islamic Republic. Here’s what we really know so far about the incident.
Sputnik
Russia's Foreign Ministry strongly condemned the weekend drone attack on an Iranian defense plant in Iran on Monday, warning that the act of terror could have "unpredictable consequences."

"We strongly condemn any provocative actions which can potentially provoke an uncontrolled escalation of tension in a region that's already far from calm. Such destructive actions can have unpredictable consequences for peace and stability in the Middle East," Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said in a statement.

The spokeswoman urged "the organizers of the provocative sortie, their patrons, and those who gloat over" this act of aggression to understand that their hopes of "weakening Iran" are "in vain."
Separately, the Kremlin announced that Russia's intelligence services were analyzing information about the attack "to get a more complete picture of what happened. In any case, we only need to condemn any such actions that are directed against a sovereign state."
Earlier, Iranian authorities launched a formal investigation into the circumstances behind the drone attack targeting a Defense Ministry factory in Isfahan.
“No casualties have been identified in the incident, and an investigation into its causes has been launched,” an official told local media Sunday.
Iran’s Defense Ministry said earlier that an attempt had been made to strike the Isfahan plant using three quadcopter-style drones, with one drone shot down by air defenses, and two others blown up after being caught in “defense traps.”
Footage posted to social media showed an explosion over the roof of the plant, followed by a plume of smoke rising into the night sky as onlookers filmed the scene using their phones.
“Thanks to God’s blessing, the attack caused no disruption to the equipment and the operations of the complex,” the Defense Ministry said, noting that only minor damage had been caused to a workshop roof.
A source confirmed to Sputnik Persian that the unmanned aerial vehicles involved in Saturday’s attack were ordinary off-the-shelf drones, not "strike UAVs," as initially reported in some quarters.
Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian called the attack a "cowardly act."
"This cowardly act was carried out today as part of efforts made by the enemies of the Iranian nation in recent months to make the Islamic republic insecure," Amir-Abdollahian said, speaking at a press conference with Qatari Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani on Sunday.
"Such measures cannot affect the will and intention of our specialists for peaceful nuclear developments," the Iranian foreign minister added.

Psychological Warfare

Iranian state media accused “Zionist user accounts on social networks, especially Twitter” and counter-revolutionary elements at home of engaging in “psychological operations” and spreading “fake news” by trying to link the Isfahan attack to an unrelated incident in Shahid Salimi Industrial City in northwestern Iran on Saturday night. In the latter incident, an engine oil factory was enveloped in a massive fire caused by a leaking pipe, with negligence suspected. However, some social media accounts posted video and photos from the visually dramatic oil factory fire while labelling it as the drone attack on the Isfahan military factory.
No casualties were reported in the oil factory fire. More incidents were also reported online about alleged attacks in Alborz and Hamadan provinces, but officials there immediately followed and announced that there were no incidents of sabotage or terror to report.
Israeli and Gulf media have paid curiously close attention to the Isfahan drone incident. One Israeli outlet reported, citing Western intelligence and foreign "sources," that the attack was “a tremendous success,” and credited the Mossad with carrying it out. A prominent US outlet citing US officials and 'people familiar with the operation' similarly reported that Israel was responsible.
A Saudi news channel alleged that the US Air Force and an unnamed third country were responsible for the attack.
Iran has yet to attribute responsibility for the attack to any actor or country.

Speaking to Sputnik, Abbas Moghtadaei, deputy chairman of the Iranian Parliament's Foreign Policy and National Security Commission, said authorities have yet to find any so-called 'Israeli trace' behind Saturday's attack. "If Israel had done this, it would proudly show evidence of its operation to the whole world." For now, Moghtadaei noted, media reports in this direction amount only to "empty statements."

At the same time, Moghtadaei emphasized that if Israel was behind the attack, its plans were foiled because the act of aggression failed.
"In essence, the occupation regime in Jerusalem [Israel, ed.] is constantly trying to use all manner of tools and capabilities to sabotage, engage in espionage in and destabilize the security of Iran. However, this time, we worked ahead of the curve before they could achieve their goals. Now, Iran's goal is to strengthen the country's defense...[T]he Israeli occupation regime is not so strong; it is vulnerable and weak, it knows very well that its pernicious actions will not go unanswered by the Islamic Republic of Iran," the official said.

History of Bad Blood

Iran and Israel have engaged in a mostly behind-the-scenes intelligence war for decades, carrying out cyberattacks targeting one another’s Internet and physical infrastructure, and Israel suspected of engaging in the systematic murder of scientists working on Iran’s peaceful nuclear program, and sabotage attacks against these facilities.
Tel Aviv has repeatedly threatened to launch air strikes on the Iranian nuclear program, laying out a special five billion shekel ($1.5 billion US) allowance for the mission and drilling alongside US aircraft through 2022. Iran has repeatedly warned Israel and its American allies against taking such a step, saying Tel Aviv would have to spend “thousands of billions of dollars” to repair its cities following the inevitable “crushing” Iranian response involving its vast arsenal of conventional ballistic and cruise missiles.
This week, former Israeli Navy chief Eli Marum urged the Benjamin Netanyahu government to strike Iran “sooner rather than later,” with “sooner...mean[ing] in the upcoming year,” because Tehran is on “the threshold” of building a nuclear bomb.
Iran has repeatedly rejected nukes and all other weapons for mass destruction from its defense doctrine, and has accused Israel and the international community of astounding hypocrisy in focusing on the Islamic Republic’s peaceful nuclear energy program while failing to pay attention to Tel Aviv’s actual (suspected) nuclear weapons status.
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