Canada’s Sands Oil Production Depends on Saudi Arabia, Not Keystone

© AFP 2023 / Brendan SMIALOWSKIAn activist holds up a sign outside the State Department during a protest of the Keystone XL pipeline on March 7, 2014 in Washington
An activist holds up a sign outside the State Department during a protest of the Keystone XL pipeline on March 7, 2014 in Washington - Sputnik International
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Former UN adviser David Livingston said the fate of the Canadian tar sands oil production may not depend on the Keystone XL pipeline, unlike possible Saudi Arabia’s intention to keep oil prices low.

WASHINGTON (Sputnik) — The final decision on Keystone XL pipeline construction will hardly affect Canadian tar sands oil production, unlike possible Saudi Arabia’s intention to keep oil prices low, former UN adviser David Livingston told Sputnik.

“The fate of the Canadian oil sands may not rest in the Keystone XL pipeline at all, but instead in the strategic intentions of Saudi Arabia and OPEC [Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries],” former adviser to the director of the Energy and Climate Change Branch of the UN Industrial Development Organization Livingston told Sputnik on Wednesday.

Livingston explained that Canada and Saudi Arabia are “quietly locked in a very competitive battle for market share in the heavy oil market,” particularly in the US Gulf Coast.

“If the Saudis truly wish to impair the long-term prospects for the oil sands, they could do so by keeping the oil price at its current level for at least two years. This would have an impact on future investment decisions arguably equal to or greater than any decision on Keystone XL,” Livingston added.

The White House said earlier it would veto the Keystone XL pipeline bill that is largely supported by the Republican-dominated Congress. Last week, the Senate passed the bill with 62 votes in favor and 26 votes against, and the House of Representatives is scheduled to vote on the bill next week.

Oil prices have steadily declined, following a decision by the OPEC in late November to keep oil production volumes unchanged. While in summer 2014 oil cost about $110 per barrel, the price of one barrel is now only $58.

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