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Japan Duly Worried by North Korea's Erratic Rockets

© AP Photo / Ahn Young-oonA South Korean man watches a TV news program showing an image published in North Korea's Rodong Sinmun newspaper of North Korea's ballistic missile believed to have been launched from underwater, at Seoul Railway station in Seoul, South Korea, Saturday, May 9, 2015
A South Korean man watches a TV news program showing an image published in North Korea's Rodong Sinmun newspaper of North Korea's ballistic missile believed to have been launched from underwater, at Seoul Railway station in Seoul, South Korea, Saturday, May 9, 2015 - Sputnik International
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North Korea won’t be deterred from carrying out its planned rocket launch, and Japan's threat to shoot down any missile it launches is based on a legitimate fear about the erraticism of North Korean rockets, Dr. Fred Fleitz from the Center for Security Policy told Sputnik.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un (C) provides field guidance at the newly built National Space Development General Satellite Control and Command Centre (File) - Sputnik International
Asia
Japan to Shoot Down North Korean Missile if State Security Endangered
Japan has legitimate concerns about the possibility of North Korea launching a rocket which would fly over Japanese territory, and is ready to shoot it down, Dr. Fred Fleitz, Senior Vice President for Policy and Programs at the Center for Security Policy, told Radio Sputnik.

"It has some pretty serious security implications for the region and for American security," Fleitz said.

The policy analyst shares the view of experts who believe that North Korea's claim that it will be launching a satellite is a cover for a missile test. 

On Tuesday North Korea notified the UN's International Maritime Organization that it intends to launch an "earth observation satellite" between February 8 and 25. 

Pyongyang last launched a long-range rocket in December 2012, which it also described as a communications satellite.

"A nuclear weapons program has three legs: developing the nuclear fuel (the hardest part), developing the warhead, and the delivery system, and there's simply no doubt that the missile program that North Korea has been developing is its nuclear weapons delivery system."

Fleitz said that the Japanese have legitimate concerns about their safety, given the past waywardness of some North Korean rockets, to which North Korea has responded in the past.

"The Japanese are worried about this because the North Korean missile program doesn't have a very good record. A lot of the missiles have not launched, or they've blown up on the pad or they've only gone a short distance."

"Japan is worried one of these rockets may crash into Japan, I think it's a legitimate concern."

"For this reason, starting with the last launch after Japan threatened to shoot down its missiles, North Korea has used a trajectory that did not go over Japan. In the 1990s they flew a missile over Japan and the Japanese were outraged."

"I don't think the North Koreans are going to do that again."

Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs - Sputnik International
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Moscow Calls on N Korea to Assess Consequences of Future Missile Launch
While the UN Security Council has previously passed sanctions against North Korea because of nuclear or missile tests, Fleitz said that China has stopped the UN from imposing new sanctions this time over the planned test.

"China is a break on anything the Security Council can do. It will try to allow certain sanctions to pass in certain circumstances, but China continues to be North Korea's protector on the UN Security Council and really tough sanctions against North Korea have never been able to pass because of the Chinese Security Council veto."

© AP Photo / Shizuo KambayashiJapan Self-Defense Force's PAC-3 Patriot missile unit deployed for North Korea's rocket launch at the Defense Ministry in Tokyo, Sunday, Jan. 31, 2016
Japan Self-Defense Force's PAC-3 Patriot missile unit deployed for North Korea's rocket launch at the Defense Ministry in Tokyo, Sunday, Jan. 31, 2016 - Sputnik International
Japan Self-Defense Force's PAC-3 Patriot missile unit deployed for North Korea's rocket launch at the Defense Ministry in Tokyo, Sunday, Jan. 31, 2016
On Wednesday Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga told a news conference that Japan had responded to the announcement by lodging a formal protest with the North Korean embassy in Beijing, and placed its military on alert to shoot down a North Korean rocket if it threatens Japan. 

Suga said Japan was concerned about the trajectory of the projectile, which it expects to be launched from a site in western North Korea and then fly over part of the Sakishima island chain of Okinawa Prefecture.

South Korea warned that the North "will pay a severe price… if it goes ahead with the long-range missile launch plan."

"North Korea's notice of the plan to launch a long-range missile, coming at a time when there is a discussion for Security Council sanctions on its fourth nuclear test, is a direct challenge to the international community," the South Korean government stated.

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