Against the Odds: Syrian Ceasefire May Lead to US-Russian Rapprochement

© Sputnik / Aleksey Nikolskyi / Go to the mediabankRussian President Vladimir Putin meets U.S. President Barack Obama
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets U.S. President Barack Obama - Sputnik International
The Syrian ceasefire agreement may result in either US-Russian rapprochement or intensification of the new Cold War, comments Professor Stephen F. Cohen, admitting that there is tremendous political opposition in Washington against the ceasefire.

A Syrian flag on a truck with a machine gun of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) near the town of Mhin, Syria - Sputnik International
Nearly 100 Rebel Groups Sign Up to Syrian Ceasefire Deal
While Ukraine remains the epicenter of the new Cold War, Syria has become the place where the new Cold War may evolve into a hot one, Stephen F. Cohen, professor emeritus of Russian studies at New York University and Princeton University noted in an interview on The John Batchelor Show.

The ceasefire agreement offers hope for the millions suffering in Syria and has the potential to end the fighting except against Daesh and other terrorist groups, since the deal specifies that both the Russia-led coalition and the US-led coalition will continue to attack the so-called Islamic State and other terrorists, the American academic said.

"But the agreement is of enormous hope first of all, to be humanistic about it, it will open humanitarian corridors to Syrians who desperately need medicine, and food, and water… it will slow the refugee migration out of Syria, and possibly to Europe, and if it succeeds (because this is very much a Russian-American and American-Russian act of diplomacy) [it] could generate enough cooperation to spread elsewhere, even to Ukraine," Professor Cohen underscored.

At the same time, if it gets ugly, it could lead Moscow and Washington to the new Cold War, he stressed, adding, however, that it is an extreme outcome.

Syrian Arab Army troops take part in a rally in Tarus in support of the Russian Aerospace Force operation in Syria - Sputnik International
Out to Win: Why Syria Ceasefire Deal is a Huge Victory for Russia
There are certain obstacles in the way of the Syrian ceasefire implementation.

"There is no agency to monitor violations of the ceasefire. Both sides say they are going to create those agencies," the US academic noted.

"But there are scores of groups fighting in Syria other than the Islamic State [Daesh] and the Syrian Army, whose affiliations and sponsorship are murky. And they may or may not care to abide by this," Professor Cohen continued.

"There is tremendous political opposition to this ceasefire here in the United States," he added.

© AFP 2023 / POOL / CAROLYN KASTER US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter (C) talks to multinational troops at the Arbil International Airport in the capital of the autonomous northern Iraqi region on July 24, 2015
US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter (C) talks to multinational troops at the Arbil International Airport in the capital of the autonomous northern Iraqi region on July 24, 2015 - Sputnik International
US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter (C) talks to multinational troops at the Arbil International Airport in the capital of the autonomous northern Iraqi region on July 24, 2015

The American academic pointed out that it is documented that Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter was against the Syrian ceasefire brokered by US Secretary of State John Kerry with Russia's leaders.

"In fact he [Carter] is against any cooperation with the Russians," the professor remarked.

However, whether Ash Carter likes it or not, the US-Russian deal envisages close cooperation and sharing of intelligence.

Syria's Osman village freed from terrorists - Sputnik International
Keep Calm: Syrian Conflict is by No Means a Prelude to WW3
Professor Cohen cited Russian President Vladimir Putin who, in a televised speech, linked the Russo-American cooperation over the ceasefire in Syria to US-Russian successful collaboration to eliminate Syria's chemical arms stockpiles in 2013.

"It was the last active American-Russian cooperation. After that Ukraine came and the Cold War came and there has really been no substantial cooperation… But Putin [said] that 'we've done that before and achieved great things: we abolished Assad's… chemical weapons and prevented an American attack on Syria'," the US academic noted, stressing that for Russia the Syrian ceasefire is a very big deal.

Regardless of the doubts and concerns surrounding the implementation of the agreement, the Syrian ceasefire is largely regarded as a diplomatic victory for both sides and especially for Russia.

"The recent agreement between the US and Russia really solves nothing, it does not even end the war, and both sides are expressing a great deal of caution about its future implementation.  And yet, this is a huge victory for Russia. While it is too early to say that 'the Russians won in Syria,' I think that it is now fair to say that the Russian position on Syria has won," The Saker, an anonymous American military analyst, wrote in his analysis for The Unz Review.

Pami Aalto, the director of the Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence on European Politics and European-Russian Relations at the University of Tampere, echoed the stance in his exclusive interview with Radio Sputnik, saying that the agreement is a "very positive development" that shows that Moscow and Washington can "agree on something," despite everything.

It's a "diplomatic victory for both sides," the scholar stressed.

To participate in the discussion
log in or register
Заголовок открываемого материала