New US Sanctions Likely to Hit Hard on North Korea’s Poor

© AP Photo / JUNG YEON-JEA man watches a news report on North Korea's planned rocket launch as the television screen shows file footage of North Korea's Unha-3 rocket which launched in 2012, at a railway station in Seoul on February 3, 2016
A man watches a news report on North Korea's planned rocket launch as the television screen shows file footage of North Korea's Unha-3 rocket which launched in 2012, at a railway station in Seoul on February 3, 2016 - Sputnik International
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The tough new US economic sanctions against North Korea announced this week were likely to hurt the poorest and most vulnerable people in the country rather than its secure and entrenched leadership, experts told Sputnik.

WASHINGTON (Sputnik) — The latest US sanctions were imposed on Wednesday after North Korea launched its latest intercontinental ballistic missile on February 7 and tested its fourth underground nuclear device on January 6.

American student Otto Warmbier, center, is escorted at the Supreme Court in Pyongyang. - Sputnik International
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"[The sanctions] make the targeted population more desperate and more dependent on the government for their basic survival," Antiwar.com senior analyst Jason Ditz predicted. "Economic sanctions may devastate North Korea but [they will] only strengthens the government's hold on power."

Far from weakening the governments they were applied against, the new economic sanctions were more likely to strengthen the Pyongyang regime’s grip on power and inflict suffering on the poor and powerless parts of the population instead, Ditz explained.

"Sanctions are by their nature a very imprecise form of economic warfare, and even the most carefully designed sanctions must necessarily harm a nation's economy, and by extension do more damage to the most economically vulnerable citizens than it does to the targeted government," Ditz noted.

The process almost always boosted the power of the authoritarian regime rather than undermining it, he added.

"The question of whether the sanctions [will] work depends upon the goal and who is affected by them," California State University Emeritus Professor of Political Science Beau Grosscup, an author and terrorism analyst, told Sputnik.

"Depending on the scope, typically [sanctions] affect the daily lives of the general public and not the position of the regime. It also depends on who they are applied against," Grosscup observed.

Successive US governments had used contrary arguments to other nations about imposing sanctions depending where they thought American interests lay, Grosscup pointed out.

"If the world community wanted sanctions against a US ally [such as] apartheid South Africa, the United States said they didn't work, so there was no reason for the United States to join. If they are applied against a US enemy, the argument is that they can affect regime change so the world should support them."

US administrations also applied sanctions against countries they intended to attack to prepare the way with justifications for the use of military force, Grosscup warned.

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