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Blair, Iraq and Chilcot: How Dodgy Dossiers Precipitated War

© AFP 2023 / Mandel NganUS President George W. Bush (R) and Britain’s Prime Minister Tony Blair pose for photographers prior a bilateral meeting 07 June 2007 on the sidelines of the G8 Summit in Heiligendamm, northeastern Germany.
US President George W. Bush (R) and Britain’s Prime Minister Tony Blair pose for photographers prior a bilateral meeting 07 June 2007 on the sidelines of the G8 Summit in Heiligendamm, northeastern Germany. - Sputnik International
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The report into Britain's decision to go to war with the US against Saddam Hussein in 2003 has finally been published, but not after lengthy delays and controversy. Sputnik looks back at the history of the inquiry.

In 2002, the governments of the US and the UK claimed that Iraq's alleged possession of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) posed a threat to their security and that of the whole region. The UN Security Council passed Resolution 1441, which called for the government of Iraq to provide "a currently accurate, full, and complete declaration of all aspects of its programs to develop chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons."

In the subsequent months there was much wrangling and backroom dealing with UN member countries to use the resolution (and others) to provide a mandate for war.

In Britain, Tony Blair's government published a dossier of evidence in September 2002, that stated there was evidence that Saddam Hussein's regime had "military plans for the use of chemical and biological weapons. Some of these weapons are deployable within 45 minutes of an order to use them." The 45-minute claim made all the front pages, with the Sun newspaper proclaiming: "Brits 45 mins from doom".

A demonstrator wearing a mask to impersonate Tony Blair protests before the release of the John Chilcot report into the Iraq war, at the Queen Elizabeth II centre in London, Britain July 6, 2016. - Sputnik International
Iraq Inquiry Points Finger at Blair and Intel Manipulation

For several weeks its contents were debated and criticized. The 45-minute claim was widely disputed and eventually led the BBC journalist Andrew Gilligan to report that the claim was being dismissed by senior intelligence staff and that the British government knew that it was wrong before publishing the dossier.

Suicide

The broadcast of his report led to the controversial outing of his source, Dr David Kelly. There ensued a huge row between Downing Street and the BBC and the eventual resignation of its Director General and Chairman and the apparent suicide of Dr Kelly. Kelly was found dead two days after an aggressive grilling at the hands of the House of Commons foreign affairs select committee.

An inquiry was called, under Lord Hutton, into the circumstances surrounding Kelly's death.

© AFP 2023 / Stephan RousseauCopies of the Hutton report are stacked at the Royal Courts of Justice in London 28 January, 2004 ahead of Lord Brian Hutton's summarization the conclusions of his report into the suicide of weapons expert David Kelly that hurled Prime Minister Tony Blair into his worst political crisis in office.
Copies of the Hutton report are stacked at the Royal Courts of Justice in London 28 January, 2004 ahead of Lord Brian Hutton's summarization the conclusions of his report into the suicide of weapons expert David Kelly that hurled Prime Minister Tony Blair into his worst political crisis in office.  - Sputnik International
Copies of the Hutton report are stacked at the Royal Courts of Justice in London 28 January, 2004 ahead of Lord Brian Hutton's summarization the conclusions of his report into the suicide of weapons expert David Kelly that hurled Prime Minister Tony Blair into his worst political crisis in office.

In February 2003, the British government published a second dossier which made further claims about the prevalence of Saddam Hussein's WMD capabilities, mostly based on an article by (then) graduate student Ibrahim al-Marashi, with key extracts being highlighted to improve the case for war. A committee later said that "more weight was placed on the intelligence than it could bear," and that judgements had stretched available intelligence "to the outer limits."

© AFP 2023 / Nicholas AsfouriOpponents of the US-led war on Iraq demonstrate en masse in central London 15 February 2003 as tens of thousands of anti-war demonstrators around the world took the streets.
Opponents of the US-led war on Iraq demonstrate en masse in central London 15 February 2003 as tens of thousands of anti-war demonstrators around the world took the streets. - Sputnik International
Opponents of the US-led war on Iraq demonstrate en masse in central London 15 February 2003 as tens of thousands of anti-war demonstrators around the world took the streets.

It concluded that the wording of the September dossier had been altered to present the strongest possible case for war within the bounds of available intelligence; that some of these changes had been suggested by Alastair Campbell, Tony Blair's communications chief, and that reservations had been expressed by experts within the Intelligence Community, including Kelly, about the wording of the dossier. However, in its final report in January 2004, it exonerated the British government and damned the BBC for Gilligan's report. 

Michael Trench, one of the youngest British soldiers to die in Iraq in 2007 - Sputnik International
Mother of Soldier Killed in Iraq: 'I Blame Blair for My Son's Death'

Feelings were running high in Britain (and around the world) and in February 2003, police estimated at least 750,000 marched on London in protest at the war-mongering, although organizers put the figure closer to two million. It was nonetheless, the biggest mass demonstration Britain had seen in decades.

Invasion

On March 20 2003, US and UK forces began the invasion that led to the eventual downfall of Saddam Hussein and his regime. Iraq's army was disbanded and the country fell into civil war from which is has never recovered. Politicians from all sides of parliament in the UK called for an inquiry into what deals Tony Blair had made with then US President George W Bush.

© AFP 2023 / Ramzi HaidarA US Marine covers the head of a statue of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein with the US flag before pulling it down in Baghdad's al-Fardous (paradise) square 09 April 2003 as the marines swept into the Iraqi capital and the Iraqi leader's regime collapsed.
A US Marine covers the head of a statue of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein with the US flag before pulling it down in Baghdad's al-Fardous (paradise) square 09 April 2003 as the marines swept into the Iraqi capital and the Iraqi leader's regime collapsed. - Sputnik International
A US Marine covers the head of a statue of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein with the US flag before pulling it down in Baghdad's al-Fardous (paradise) square 09 April 2003 as the marines swept into the Iraqi capital and the Iraqi leader's regime collapsed.

Finally, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown relented under the pressure and called for an inquiry which was launched in July 2009, chaired by Sir John Chilcot, to look in into the circumstances of the run-up to the war and its outcome to see what lessons can be learned.

Between November 2009 and February 2011, the inquiry heard from hundreds of witnesses and took in thousands of documents in an effort to discover the background to the decision to go to war with Iraq.

© AP Photo / Matt DunhamJohn Chilcot, center, the chairman of the Iraq Inquiry, sits with committee members
John Chilcot, center, the chairman of the Iraq Inquiry, sits with committee members - Sputnik International
John Chilcot, center, the chairman of the Iraq Inquiry, sits with committee members

With the report now published, many are wondering if a future British prime minister will have learned the lessons from Iraq. Some say the significant fallout from Iraq — and the final report from Chilcot — will make it even more difficult for a future PM to make the case for military invasion of another country.

That being the case, Britain's military standing will have been diminished.

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