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Brexit to Insignificantly Slow Growth of German Economy

© REUTERS / Jon NazcaThe Union Jack (bottom) and the European Union flag are seen flying, at the border of Gibraltar with Spain, in the British overseas territory of Gibraltar, historically claimed by Spain, June 27, 2016, after Britain voted to leave the European Union in the EU Brexit referendum
The Union Jack (bottom) and the European Union flag are seen flying, at the border of Gibraltar with Spain, in the British overseas territory of Gibraltar, historically claimed by Spain, June 27, 2016, after Britain voted to leave the European Union in the EU Brexit referendum - Sputnik International
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The results of the UK referendum on exiting the European Union could slightly slow down the growth of the German economy in 2016-2017, the IFO Center for Business Cycle Analysis and Surveys said in a press release Wednesday.

MOSCOW (Sputnik) — According to IFO, the German economy will grow in 2016 by about 0.1-0.2 percentage points less than it had previously forecast.

"This is a small effect. It will not endanger the upswing that the German economy has been experiencing for over three years now. We expect an economic downturn in Britain, a depreciation of the British pound, as well as a temporary period of higher uncertainty. That will have a small negative impact on German exports and investments, but this will be short-lived," Timo Wollmershauser, Interim Ifo Director was quoted as saying in the press release.

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According to him, economic analysts have to be careful in their forecasts, and not make them "too hastily."

"We have no historical experience of an exit from the European Union. Even if all future economic relations between Britain and the EU were to be clarified, it would still be difficult to generate forecasts from widely-used empirical models," Wollmershauser added.

On June 23, British voters back the United Kingdom exiting the European Union by a slim majority of 52 percent in favor and 48 percent against.

In June, another German Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK) predicted that the negative impact of Brexit on Germany will increase, thus, GDP growth is expected to stand at 1.3 percent compared to the previously predicted 1.8 percent in 2017.

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