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Unequal Partners: This is Why Belarus Cannot Build Mutual Cooperation With China

© REUTERS / Tatyana Zenkovich/PoolBelarussian President Alexander Lukashenko (R) shakes hands with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping during a meeting in Minsk, May 10, 2015
Belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko (R) shakes hands with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping during a meeting in Minsk, May 10, 2015 - Sputnik International
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Last week, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko made a three-day visit to China. It was the ninth official visit by Lukashenko as president to China. The trip ended on September 30 and resulted in a number of agreements, including those related to Chinese investments in the Belarusian economy.

Chinese President Xi Jinping (R) shakes hands with Belarus' President Alexander Lukashenko after being awarding the Belarus peace and friendship medal at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on September 29, 2016 - Sputnik International
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On September 29, Minsk and Beijing signed a declaration aimed to establish a strategic partnership and mutually beneficial cooperation.

"The total sum of contracts, current and future, is nearly $11 billion," said Belarusian Ambassador to China Kirill Rudiy.

According to the diplomat, currently both countries are shifting from "credit" to "investment" cooperation, which means direct Chinese investments into the Belarussian economy.

Minsk and Beijing are planning a number of joint projects. In particularly, they include assembling Belarus-produced MAZ and BelAZ trucks in China while manufacturing a wide range of Chinese goods in Belarus.

According to official sources, in the near future Belarus will receive $230 million of technical and economic aid. The money is supposed to be spent on a joint industrial park. Moreover, Belarusbank will receive a $100 million loan from the Chinese People’s Bank. Both sides also have agreed on deliveries of Belarus-made agricultural goods to China.

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Beijing also pledged that Minsk will be involved in the Silk Road economic belt project.

However, all these statements and plans are unlikely to become reality, political observer Alexander Klaskovsky wrote in an article for the Belarusian news website Naviny.by.

"Presentely, mutual cooperation looks like this: China is constantly winning while Belarus is losing in many aspects," the author wrote.

He underscored that the main problem is that Belarus cannot offer to China a high-demand, competitive product.

For example, the main part of Belarusian exports to China is potash fertilizer. China was in long-standing talks, however, recently, the price dropped and they were able to capitalize on this by receiving a $30 dollar discount.

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Moreover, there are difficulties with Belarusian agricultural supplies to China. In 2015, Belarus agricultural exports to China reached nearly $15 million, against over $3.7 billion to Russia same year.

The author also noted that Belarusian companies do not produce hi-tech products that could attract Chinese investors.

"Belarusian exports to China are failing. During the first seven months of 2016, Minsk sold products worth $107 million to China, which accounts only for 21.5 percent of the volume in the same period a year ago," the article read.

Meanwhile, Chinese companies are flooding the Belarusian market with all kinds of products, from garments to smartphones, the author added.

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