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Victory for Fillon in Presidential Primary Marks Earthquake in French Politics

© REUTERS / Philippe WojazerFrancois Fillon, former French prime minister and member of Les Republicains political party, attends a rally as he campaigns in the second round for the French center-right presidential primary election in Paris, France, November 25, 2016.
Francois Fillon, former French prime minister and member of Les Republicains political party, attends a rally as he campaigns in the second round for the French center-right presidential primary election in Paris, France, November 25, 2016. - Sputnik International
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The runaway victory for French center-right Republican candidate Francois Fillon's bid for the French presidency next year marks a significant turning point in recent French political history - not least the end of the traditional two-party left-right election battle.

Francois Fillon, former French prime minister and member of Les Republicains political party, delivers his speech after partial results in the second round for the French center-right presidential primary election in Paris, France, November 27, 2016. - Sputnik International
Most 'Pro-Russian' Candidate Fillon Winning France's The Republicans' Nomination
French politics for the last 30 years has been dominated by the two-party run-off between the center-right parties (Rally for the Republic and the Union for a Popular Movement/Republicans) led by former presidents Jacques Chirac and Nicolas Sarkozy and the Socialists, led by Francois Hollande.

However, a new era beckons with the rise of Fillon, who has already made French political history in having fought the first primary in recent times, where its leader, Sarkozy, was forced to face a challenge. Sarkozy went out in the first round, leaving Fillon to face-off — and decisively beat — ex-Prime Minister Alain Juppe in the second round, November 27.

Fillon is a man in the image of Britain's Margaret Thatcher — a center-right, free market, small government politician. He is also sceptical about Brussels and the whole EU political machine.

Although he believes in free trade, he is wary of the burdens of the burgeoning Brussels bureaucracy.

© AFP 2023 / JOEL SAGET(COMBO) This combination of file pictures created on November 25, 2016 shows Alain Juppe (L) on October 26, 2016 and Francois Fillon (R) on November 25, 2016 during photo sessions in Paris
(COMBO) This combination of file pictures created on November 25, 2016 shows Alain Juppe (L) on October 26, 2016 and Francois Fillon (R) on November 25, 2016 during photo sessions in Paris - Sputnik International
(COMBO) This combination of file pictures created on November 25, 2016 shows Alain Juppe (L) on October 26, 2016 and Francois Fillon (R) on November 25, 2016 during photo sessions in Paris

He is also pro-British — being married to a Welsh woman — and has strong UK connections, which could well play a significant factor in the Brexit negotiations over Britain's new relationship with the EU after it formally leaves the union.

Left Weakness

Nicole Ameline, a Republican lawmaker who worked with Fillon under Jacques Chirac, told the BBC: "He is coming to power with the most radically right-wing program ever since the start of the Fifth Republic in 1958.. His program is about family values, authority, law and order and the free market.

"One of the reasons for his popularity is because of the extreme weakness of the left, so it will be a contest between the extreme right and him," Ameline said.

Significantly, the Socialists — so far — under the incumbent Francois Hollande are nowhere in sight, with the French president having disastrously low popularity ratings and his party divided over reforms to France's heavily codified labor laws and a backlash over his handling of the economy and response to the terror attacks that have hit France over the past two years.

​So now — for the first time in decades — France is on track for a vote between Fillon — on the center-right — and the only other candidate with a chance, the right-wing Front National party leader Marine Le Pen.

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