French Election: What Makes Macron Frontrunner and What Could Let Him Down

© REUTERS / Fabrizio BenschEmmanuel Macron (C), head of the political movement En Marche !, or Forward !, and candidate for the 2017 French presidential election, smiles during a visit to a qualification class for refugees of German railway operator Deutsche Bahn in Berlin, Germany January 10, 2017
Emmanuel Macron (C), head of the political movement En Marche !, or Forward !, and candidate for the 2017 French presidential election, smiles during a visit to a qualification class for refugees of German railway operator Deutsche Bahn in Berlin, Germany January 10, 2017 - Sputnik International
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French independent presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron's rise to prominence ahead of this year's presidential election has been driven by the disarray in the opposing Socialist and center-right camps, Sophie Montel, a lawmaker from the National Front party, told Sputnik, adding that the electorate will eventually be disappointed in him.

MOSCOW (Sputnik) — According to a latest poll, Emmanuel Macron was expected to win the second round of French presidential election with 60.5 percent of votes against far-right candidate Marine Le Pen, who is expected to secure 39.5 percent of votes. Le Pen is still projected to be the leader of the first round of the election, with 26 percent of votes, while Macron is expected to win 25.5 percent of votes.

The Republicans' candidate Francois Fillon has been battered in the polls after the "penelopegate" scandal involving his wife's fake employment, while Socialist candidate Benoit Hamon's initially low support fell from around 18 percent to 14 percent by February after he failed to make public appearances during his campaign.

"Francois Fillon's campaign is in turmoil, the official socialist candidate has disappeared, this is the prefect recipe for an ideologically-inconsistent and at times contradictory man such as Macron to succeed… In that regard, Macron is indeed an ideal candidate: liberal on society matters which is all leftists now care about, liberal on economics and pro-European, which is important for the centrist electorate," Montel said.

According to Montel, success of Macron at the moment owes itself to his being "a fresh face" but the situation may change over the issue of the former investment banker’s declaration of finances.

"[People] will see that he is responsible for [French President Francois] Hollande's disastrous results … They will wonder why he declared a negative net worth while earning 3 million euros [roughly $3.2 million] as a banker for Rothschild," Montel added.

Montel said that National Front (FN) party leader Marine Le Pen was still capable of winning the first round of the presidential vote and the main challenge for her would be to transform popularity of her ideas among French citizens into votes.

French politicians Alain Juppe (R) and Francois Fillon shake hands as they arrive to attend the third prime-time televised debate as they campaign in the second round for the French center-right presidential primary election in Paris, France, November 24, 2016 - Sputnik International
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Macron served as the minister of economy under incumbent President Francois Hollande in 2014-2016. During Hollande's presidency, France faced surging unemployment and the economy is likely to play an important role in guiding voters' preferences.

Several French media, including Mediapart and Le Nouvel Observateur, questioned Macron's declaration of finances for when he entered public sector, considering that previously, while employed at Rothschild & Cie, he is estimated to have earned a significant sum.

The first round of the French presidential election is slated for April 23, while the run-off between the top two candidates is expected to take place on May 7. The latest polls indicate that Macron and Le Pen have equal chances of winning the first round with 26 percent each, with Macron the likely winner of the run-off by a margin of approximately 60 to 40 percent.

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