Russian-Turkish Trade Depends on a 'More Predictable Ankara's Policy' in Syria

© Sputnik / Alexei Druzhinin / Go to the mediabankPresidents Vladimir Putin of Russia and Recep Tayyip Erdogan (left) of Turkey attending the participants photography session at the 23rd World Energy Congress in Istanbul, October 10, 2016.
Presidents Vladimir Putin of Russia and Recep Tayyip Erdogan (left) of Turkey attending the participants photography session at the 23rd World Energy Congress in Istanbul, October 10, 2016. - Sputnik International
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Political scientist and expert on Russian-Turkish relations Kerim Has believes that the current tensions over bilateral trade are related to Ankara's and Moscow's different positions in Syria.

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The expert believes that Russia's restrictions on supplies of Turkish products can be interpreted as a warning message to the Turkish leadership. In an interview with Sputnik Turkey, he said that this is a kind of signal that Ankara should be cautious with its Syrian policy.

According to Has, economic relations between Russia and Turkey depend on cooperation between the countries on the Syrian issue.

"After a missile attack launched by US President Donald Trump on a Syrian air base, the Turkish government openly expressed its support for US actions. It is likely that this rapprochement between Turkey and the United States has troubled Russia," the expert noted.

In his opinion, Turkey "very much hoped" for a possible overthrow of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

"I believe that this behavior of Turkey influenced the position of Russia regarding the lifting of all restrictions in trade with Turkey," Has said.

After Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited Moscow on March 10, both sides expected mutual sanctions to be lifted.

"But this did not happen," the expert noted. "Russia had imposed restrictions on 23 types of products, and only nine of them were lifted. However, restrictions on the most significant products, namely, on tomatoes and cucumbers, are still in place. In response, Turkey imposed restrictions on Russian sunflower and wheat.

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It is obvious that these are reciprocal steps aimed at targeting the most vulnerable areas," he continued.

The expert believes that Russia expects a "more predictable foreign policy from Turkey," especially on the Syrian issue.

"A number of steps made by the Russian side, in particular, a statement on the possible cancellation of charter flights after the referendum, are a precautionary measure if Turkey decides to turn toward the US and move away from a close cooperation with Russia," the expert concluded.

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