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The Gordian Knot of Syrian War: Iran's Strike, US-Russia Tension and Daesh

© Sputnik / Iliya Pitalev / Go to the mediabankA Su-22 fighter jet at the Syrian Air Force base in Homs province
A Su-22 fighter jet at the Syrian Air Force base in Homs province - Sputnik International
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The Soufan Group intelligence firm outlined the Gordian knot of the Syrian war.

WASHINGTON (Sputnik) — Iran’s strike on positions of Daesh is the first time in 30 years that Tehran has launched missiles from its territory into another country, representing a dangerous escalation of the conflict at a time when Russia and the United States are at odds over the first US downing of a manned Syrian fighter jet, according to a report by the private intelligence firm Soufan Group.

"As the battlefield in Syria shrinks — and the number of competing combatants and aircraft grows — the methods used for de-confliction that have worked in the past may no longer be sufficient," the report stated on Tuesday.

The report noted that the dilemma is complicated by conflicting Russia and Syrian goals of keeping Syrian President Bashar Assad’s government in power as opposed to the US-led coalition and Syrian Democratic Force (SDF) allies’ efforts to oust Assad.

A still image taken from footage shot on June 18, 2017 and broadcast on Iranian Television IRINN, purports to show missiles being fired from Iran into eastern Syria - Sputnik International
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The report claimed the US aircraft downing of a Syrian warplane on Sunday followed failed attempts to de-escalate the situation using a US-Russian de-confliction hotline — an incident that is equally serious for Russia, Iran and the United States.

On Monday, the Russian Defense Ministry announced it has suspended the deconfliction channel with the United States for flight operations in Syria over the incident. It explained that the Syrian jet was carrying out operations against Daesh some 40km from Raqqa and demanded the United States investigate the incident.

Moreover, the Russian Defense Ministry announced that any airborne objects west of the Euphrates River will be tracked by Russian ground and air defenses as targets.

The Soufan Group said in the report that all parties — including the United States — will now have to decide if further actions will match their respective rhetoric, with the very real potential for even further escalation.

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