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Heatwaves: Could They Spell the End of Mankind?

© Sputnik / Fedorenko Vladimir / Go to the mediabankHeatwave in Moscow
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Extreme weather conditions could kill thousands of people by 2100 unless climate change issues are not promptly addressed, according to research by the European Commission's Joint Research Center. Radio Sputnik discussed the issue with professor Paul Wilkinson of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

The study, published in the Lancet Planetary Health journal, looks at the expected frequency of extreme weather events in the future. It says the emission of greenhouse gases that cause global warming will increase over the years.

The authors of the research also looked at what could be a onece-in-a-century event that could happen, and how much more frequent such events could become by the end of this century.

“The study offers a realistic view of the potential effects of such exposure to extreme temperature changes on humans unless we take action,” professor Paul Wilkinson said.

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When asked about the possible aftermath of such radical climate change and its potential impact on Europe, he said that the authors mainly looked at the health and social impact of this, such as higher mortality rates and droughts, which although not directly related to mortality, still affect farming and, therefore, have serious social consequences.

Regarding the impact this could have on people living in other parts of the planet, Paul Wilkinson said that much depended on their ability to protect themselves.

“Overall, there are much smaller mortality impacts from, say droughts, than heatwaves, whereas the annual mortality rate from heatwaves is about 150,000 compared to mere hundreds, maximum thousands, resulting from floods,” Wilkinson explained.

When asked what concrete steps people should take to prevent such things from happening, he said “We have to learn to adapt to a changing climate, in particular warmer temperatures.

Climate changes are inevitable, so people should realize that there will be an increased threat from heatwaves,” he noted.

Some experts now say that climate change will bring about a new kind of refugee – a climate refugee.

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While an increase in deadly heat waves may be inevitable, experts underscore the importance of working to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and minimize the future impact of climate change as much as possible.

Nearly one-third of the global population suffers deadly levels of heat for at least 20 days during the year and by the end of the century, thanks to climate change, this number could climb above 70 percent.

The study shows that heat waves will become a leading cause of weather-related mortality, accounting for 99 percent of all the cases.

According to the estimates, natural disaster will affect two in three people in Europe. Southern Europe is believed to be in the gravest danger of deaths induced by climate change.

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