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With Qatar's Boycott Lifted, GCC Might Form Joint Front Against Iran, Advisor to Gulf Monarchs Says

© AFP 2023 / BANDAR AL-JALOUDA handout picture provided by the Saudi Royal Palace on January 5, 2021, shows from L to R: Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Nawaf al-Ahmad Al-Sabah, Emir of Qatar Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani, Omani Deputy Prime Minister Fahd Bin Mahmud, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Bahrain's Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al-Khalifa, Dubai's Ruler and UAE Vice President Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al-Maktoum and Nayef al-Hajraf, secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) posing for a pictures before the opening session of the 41st Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) summit in the northwestern Saudi city of al-Ula. - Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that the Gulf states had signed an agreement on regional "solidarity and stability" at a summit aimed at resolving a three-year embargo against Qatar.
A handout picture provided by the Saudi Royal Palace on January 5, 2021, shows from L to R: Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Nawaf al-Ahmad Al-Sabah, Emir of Qatar Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani, Omani Deputy Prime Minister Fahd Bin Mahmud, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Bahrain's Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al-Khalifa, Dubai's Ruler and UAE Vice President Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al-Maktoum and Nayef al-Hajraf, secretary-general of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) posing for a pictures before the opening session of the 41st Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) summit in the northwestern Saudi city of al-Ula. - Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that the Gulf states had signed an agreement on regional solidarity and stability at a summit aimed at resolving a three-year embargo against Qatar.  - Sputnik International
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The lifting of sanctions against Qatar that have been in place since mid-2017 will bring stability to the region and the world, thinks an American advisor close to the ruling elite in several Gulf states. But additional deals with Israel will only be possible if the plight of the Palestinians is addressed.

Leaders of all Gulf states met on Tuesday in the Saudi capital Riyadh for the first time in almost four years, effectively ending their feud with Qatar and lifting their boycott of the tiny, prosperous Arab nation. 

Later on, it was announced that Egypt has also signed its agreement with Doha, putting an end to the crisis between the states.

Divided We Stand

In 2017, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain severed their relations with Doha, cutting off trade and business ties and shutting down borders and air travel between the countries.

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif speaks at the Raisina Dialogue 2020 in New Delhi, India, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2020. Zarif is in the country on a three-day visit - Sputnik International
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Back then, the quartet accused Qatar of giving too much support for Iran, the Gulf states' main rival in the region, and of backing terrorist organisations such as the Muslim Brotherhood movement and Hamas, allegations that Doha has repeatedly denied. 

That boycott has had a negative impact on the gas-rich nation. Entire families have been split, relatives were not allowed to visit each other, the international standing of Qatar has been damaged, and its economy shrank, with the rating agency Standard and Poor's giving it a negative outlook in 2017.

Now, however, after the sides decided to put differences aside, past disputes seem to be over and Rabbi Marc Schneier, a man considered a close friend of several Gulf monarchs, says the Saudi decision was a "win-win situation for the region and the world".

"Qatar is very excited to be part of that reconciliation but it is not only them. All sides wanted that to happen."

United Front

The timing of that reconciliation is not accidental. It comes just weeks before US President-elect Joe Biden takes office on 20 January and Schneier is certain that the decision to resolve the dispute is aimed at pleasing the new administration in Washington.

"Saudi Arabia would like to have a good start with Biden and they also want to demonstrate that they are the leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), and to do so, they need these kind of initiatives."

However, establishing warm relations with the new boss in Washington was not Riyadh's only concern and the reconciliation was also aimed at presenting a united front in the face of challenges in the region, particularly Iran.

Journalists watch the arrival of the Qatar envoy ahead of the 41st Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) summit in the city of al-Ula in northwestern Saudi Arabia on January 5, 2021. - Saudi Arabia will reopen its borders and airspace to Qatar, US and Kuwaiti officials said, a major step towards ending a diplomatic rift that has seen Riyadh lead an alliance isolating Doha. The bombshell announcement came on the eve of GCC annual summit in the northwestern Saudi Arabian city of Al-Ula, where the dispute was already set to top the agenda.  - Sputnik International
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Speaking at the GCC summit on Tuesday, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman urged the Gulf states to "unite their efforts" to be able to handle such challenges as Iran's nuclear programme and the Islamic Republic's ballistic missile project.

Although Tehran has repeatedly said that its nuclear programme was serving peaceful purposes only, Riyadh as well as other regional players including Israel have insisted that Iran was developing weapons of mass destruction that could be used against them.

With the GCC now forming a united bloc, the Saudis are hopeful that that axis will also be converted into a common front, which will also include Qatar, that has maintained fairly friendly relations with the Islamic Republic. 

"Of course, each state will bring its own relations with Iran to the table but the overall message is clear. The GCC is one and it will act as one," said Schneier.

More Pacts with Israel?

Another question that begs to be answered is whether the GCC will "act as one" when it comes to the Palestinian issue and the normalisation process with Israel.

In September, two member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council - the UAE and Bahrain - signed peace pacts with Israel, and reports suggest that more players in the region will soon follow in their footsteps.

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Schneier believes that the reconciliation between former rivals was a step towards potential deals between Israel, the Saudis and even Qatar. In September, a source from the Gulf told Sputnik that Doha was eyeing recognition of the Jewish state in exchange for the lifting of sanctions against it

Now that the boycott is over, it could unlock "a domino effect" leading to a number of additional normalisation agreements with Israel, but Schneier is certain that even if such rapprochement does occur, it will not be at the expense of the Palestinians.

"The Saudis and Qataris have already said that the plight of the Palestinians must be addressed if Israel wanted to move ahead with normalisation agreements. And President-elect Biden is supportive of this stance because his administration is on the same page with those Gulf states when it comes to the Palestinian issue."
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