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US Consumer Price Growth Slows on Year but Rises on Month in Test to Fed

© AP Photo / John MinchilloA U.S. flag waves outside the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Jan. 24, 2022, in New York. Stocks are drifting between small gains and losses in the early going on Wall Street Tuesday, May 3, 2022 as investors await Wednesday's decision by the Federal Reserve on interest rates. The Fed is expected to raise its benchmark rate by twice the usual amount this week as it steps up its fight against inflation, which is at a four-decade high.
A U.S. flag waves outside the New York Stock Exchange, Monday, Jan. 24, 2022, in New York. Stocks are drifting between small gains and losses in the early going on Wall Street Tuesday, May 3, 2022 as investors await Wednesday's decision by the Federal Reserve on interest rates. The Fed is expected to raise its benchmark rate by twice the usual amount this week as it steps up its fight against inflation, which is at a four-decade high. - Sputnik International, 1920, 14.02.2023
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WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - US consumer prices rose 6.4% in the 12 months to January, marking the smallest inflationary growth since October 2021, but a larger rise on the month raised questions on how comfortable the Federal Reserve would be in continuing to taper rate hikes.
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, known in short as the CPI, rose by 0.5% last month after a 0.1% decline in December. Core month-on-month CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, was up 0.4% in January from a 0.3% growth in December.
“This is on the hot side but not a complete shock with some economists flagging upside risks,” economist Adam Button said in a post on the Forex Live forum.
Button said housing numbers flattened out in January while rent declined, gasoline prices held steady and natural gas prices cratered. “So there's disinflation in the pipeline,” he said, agreeing with a Fed assessment earlier this month that price growth was slowing.
US President Joe Biden makes his way to board Marine One before departing from the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, DC on January 4, 2023 - Sputnik International, 1920, 03.02.2023
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Still, the mixed month-on-month data, especially a 0.7% growth in real weekly earnings that could keep spending high, would likely prompt most economists to ask if the central bank was getting anywhere near to its long-held target on inflation, Button said. “Will that be enough to get inflation back to 2% or will it get stuck at 3-4%?”
The CPI hit a 40-year high in June when it grew at an annual rate of 9.1%, versus the Fed's inflation target of just 2% per annum.
The Fed began with a 25-basis point hike in March, then moved up to a 50-basis point increase in May. After that it executed four back-to-back jumbo-sized hikes of 75 basis points from June through November. Since then, it returned to a more modest 50-basis point increase in December and a 25-basis point hike in February.
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