The Good
Mehmet Rakipoglu, researcher at Dimensions for Strategic Studies, says the positives are:
Israel will not occupy Gaza
Palestinians will not be expelled from Gaza and will receive humanitarian aid
Hostilities would end immediately
Hostages would be released
The Bad
But the plan has several drawbacks, Rakipoglu says:
There is no third-party guarantor as US is pro-Israel
Palestinians will still be denied their right to self-determination
The US will not pressure Israel into ending the bloodshed in Gaza
The Ugly
The idea to appoint former British prime minister Tony Blair to the ‘Board of Peace’ that would oversee Gaza but not include any major Arab figures seems strange, notes former Pentagon analyst Karen Kwiatkowski.
Liar, Liar
It is unclear how serious Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is about ‘vague promises’ to withdraw troops, end hostilities, free Palestinian prisoners and end the food, water and energy blockade, given his track record, Kwiatkowski says.
Meant to Fail
Mehran Kamrava, Professor of Government at Georgetown University in Qatar, argues the plan seems to be “designed specifically to be rejected” as it demands the complete surrender of Hamas.
What If
If the plan is rejected, it would likely lead to “continued genocide and ethnic cleansing” of the Gaza Strip, bringing Netanyahu “closer to his realization of the idea of Greater Israel,” Kamrava says.