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Russia May Become Mediator to Ease Tensions Between Turkey, Iraq

© AP Photo / IHASmokes rise after Kurdish militants detonated a car bomb outside a military station in Semdinli near the border with Iraq, Turkey, Sunday, Oct. 9, 2016
Smokes rise after Kurdish militants detonated a car bomb outside a military station in Semdinli near the border with Iraq, Turkey, Sunday, Oct. 9, 2016 - Sputnik International
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Russia may act as a go-between to ease tensions between Ankara and Baghdad caused by the presence of Turkish troops in northern Iraq, Aziz Barzani,a professor of political science at Salahaddin University in Erbil, told Sputnik.

Members of the Shi'ite Badr Organisation undergo training before the upcoming battle to recapture Mosul in Diyala province, Iraq September 27, 2016 - Sputnik International
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In a majority vote last Tuesday the Iraqi MPs protested against the presence of Turkish troops in Bashiqa near Mosul and demanded the adoption of legal and diplomatic measures against Ankara, including a rollback of economic ties between the two nations.

The move invited an angry response from Ankara with Prime Minister Binali Yildirim saying that the Turkish troops would stay on no matter what.

“Russia could help defuse tensions between Baghdad and Ankara over the situation in Bashiqa and pull their efforts against Daesh. The operation to liberate Mosul, scheduled to start shortly, would undermine the terrorists’ positions also in Syria, which is very important to Russia and President Bashar Assad,” Barzani said.

He also mentioned a large Iraqi army, reinforced by an estimated 800 US military instructors, currently deployed south of Mosul, and Kurdish Peshmerga forces in the north.

“There are some 50,000 Shiite militiamen, backed by Iran currently deployed southwest of Mosul and ready to fight Daesh. And also Sunnis, which is exactly what Turkey fears insisting that the Shiite militia stays away from the operation to liberate Mosul,” Barzani noted, adding that this would give Turkey a bigger role in the operation.

"Mosul can be taken in a matter of just one month, but you will need at least three months to mop it up,” Aziz Barzani warned.

There were over 3 million people living in Mosul before it was taken over by Daesh. Most of them were Sunni Arabs, but there were also Kurds, Christians and Shiite Muslims living in and around Mosul.

Aziz Barzani did not rule out the possibility of an armed conflict flaring up between Shiite militia, Sunni Arabs and Peshmerga once Daesh has been flushed out. However, such a scenario could be prevented if Baghdad agreed to grant this region a federative status.

“With Daesh gone, the city will no longer belong to Baghdad because the Sunni Arabs and Kurds want autonomy rights. As a result, the city could be divided into four parts where Sunni Arabs, Kurds, Christians and Shiites would live separately from one another, while the city authorities will be reporting to Baghdad.”

“Another option is for Mosul to become a federative region, as stipulated by the 2005 constitution.  And, finally, Mosul and Erbil could have confederative relations with Baghdad, just like what they now have in Bosnia-Herzegovina,” Barzani added.

Turkish army tanks are stationed near the Syrian border in Karkamis, Turkey, Thursday, Aug. 25, 2016 - Sputnik International
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He said that Iraqi Kurds and Sunni Arabs in the north identify themselves more with Ankara than with Baghdad where Shiites rule supreme.

“We have better relations with Turkey than with the central government in Baghdad. Mosul will gain much from cooperation with Turkey which, in turn, would have a chance to rebuild the city,” Barzani noted, adding that rich in oil and other mineral resources, the region could sell them globally via Turkey.

“Therefore, links between Turkey, Iraqi Kurdistan and Sunnis in Mosul will only strengthen after the city has been liberated from Daesh,” Aziz Barzani said in conclusion.

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