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Why Macron's Warning of 'Frexit' Nothing But a Planned Election 'Circus Act'

© REUTERS / Pascal Rossignol/File PhotoEmmanuel Macron, head of the political movement En Marche !, or Onwards !, and candidate for the 2017 presidential election, attends a meeting in Reims, France March 17, 2017
Emmanuel Macron, head of the political movement En Marche !, or Onwards !, and candidate for the 2017 presidential election, attends a meeting in Reims, France March 17, 2017 - Sputnik International
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Emmanuel Macron, the front-runner in the French presidential election, has recently called on the EU to reform or face the prospect of "Frexit." Political analysts called the urge a "showy volte-face" and "change of shoes" and explained what it is actually aimed at.

Paris - Sputnik International
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On Monday, the front-runner in the French presidential election, pro-EU centrist Emmanuel Macron has made a "showy volte-face" with a "changing of shoes," ahead of the second round of the French presidential elections scheduled for May 7,  Igor Pshenichnikov, Deputy Director of the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (RISS) wrote for Sputnik.

"Previously an adamant supporter of 'European values' and France's membership in the EU, he unexpectedly tried to saddle up the idea of Euroskepticism, which his opponent Marine Le Pen, the leader of the National Front, rests upon," says his opinion piece for Sputnik.

The comments come in the follow-up to the recent remarks of Macron that the EU "must reform or face the prospect of "Frexit."

"I'm pro-European; constantly during this election I defended the European idea and European policies because I believe it's extremely important for the French people and for the place of our country in globalization," Macron, leader of the recently created En Marche! (Forward!) movement, told the BBC on Monday.

"But at the same time we have to face the situation, to listen to our people, and to listen to the fact that they are extremely angry today, impatient and the dysfunction of the EU is no longer sustainable."

"So I do consider that my mandate, the day after [I'm elected], will be at the same time to reform, in depth, the European Union and our European project," the presidential nominee said.

People walk past campaign posters of Emmanuel Macron (L), head of the political movement En Marche! (Onwards!), and Marine Le Pen (R), French National Front (FN) political party leader, two of the eleven candidates who run in the 2017 French presidential election, are seen in Paris, France, April 10, 2017 - Sputnik International
EU Should Be Reformed Otherwise France Might Withdraw From Bloc - Macron
He further added that if he were to allow the EU to continue to function as it was, it would be a "betrayal".

"And I don't want to do so," he said. "Because the day after, we will have a Frexit or we will have [Ms Le Pen's] National Front (FN) again," he stated.

"If we didn't know for sure that these are Macron's words, we would have thought that this had been said by Marine Le Pen," Pshenichnikov says.

The leader of the National Front has capitalized on anti-EU sentiment, and has promised a referendum on France's membership. She has recently said that the bloc should be replaced by a loose alliance of European nations which could join efforts on projects corresponding with their national interests.

"The main problem of the European Union is exactly that it has become almost totalitarian," she said.

"Why has Macron made such a statement?" Pshenichnikov questioned in his article.

"In his interview with a British news channel, he hardly wanted to tell the United Kingdom, which had voted in favor of Brexit, that they, the French, are as independent as the British," he further adds.

More likely, he explains, Macron's remarks are a planned electoral "circus act" with are principally intended to attract supporters from his opponent Marine Le Pen, who are displeased with the EU membership.

Marine Le Pen, French National Front (FN) political party leader and candidate for the French 2017 presidential election, attends a news conference in Paris, France - Sputnik International
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"Someone might say here that it looks a little unscrupulous and unprincipled. But Macron simply does not have any principles which he could back down on," he says.

He further noted that Macron had been an investment banker at Rothschild & Cie Banque, and had served as an unpopular Minister of the Economy, Industry and Digital Affairs under President François Hollande from 2014 until 2016. He meteorically broke into the country's political life and unexpectedly and dynamically built into the electoral campaign without any electoral program.

"His unexpected rise made many suggest that the main purpose of the 'Emmanuel Macron' project is to neutralize Euroskeptics François Fillon and Marine Le Pen," Pshenichnikov suggests.

Fillon has been neutralized using "extra-parliamentary" methods, Pshenichnikov; he was ridiculed for his love of expensive garments and for providing his wife with a dubious state job. Similar operations, however, he adds, have failed against Marine Le Pen. Hence "Monsieur Plexiglas" (as Macron is often referred to by his opponents) has calmly resorted to the theft of her most popular slogans.

French presidential election candidates (LtoR) Francois Fillon, Emmanuel Macron, Jean-Luc Melenchon, Marine Le Pen and Benoit Hamon, pose before a debate organised by French private TV channel TF1 in Aubervilliers, outside Paris, France. - Sputnik International
Reforms Hotly Debated in French Election Amid Massive Economic Challenges
Macron's remarks on the EU reforms reveal the nervousness of the political consultants who are working with him, Pshenichnikov says.

His curators understand that too many voters now support Le Pen, and it is impossible to ignore. Not taking her into account could jeopardize the whole project to save the EU from collapse.

The European establishment need to maintain the status quo. And Macron has no other option left but to "dress up as Euroskeptic," the political scientist says. Hence a week before the second round Macron started voicing nearly the same opinions as Marine Le Pen.

"There is no doubt that in the event of his victory, Macron will forget about the 'reform of the EU' [platform] right away and will never recall it. Macron is a protégé of the European liberal establishment who see the EU with its forms of totalitarian leadership as a core of their policies. It would be absolutely absurd to reform those who have created you; who are now patronizing you and bringing you to the presidency," Pshenichnikov finally stated.

His view is echoed by French political analyst and journalist Marc Crapez, a member of the research group Sophiapol at Université Paris Nanterre, who told Sputnik France that Macron's words sound like political opportunism.

EU flag is seen in front of the EU Commission Headquarters in Brussels. (File) - Sputnik International
EU Commission Sees No Reasons to Prepare for Possible Frexit – Spokeswoman
"He is going after votes and voters who live in cities and enjoy the benefits of globalization. However now he is also going after those residing on the margins of modern society and who are skeptical about the European house-building in its present-day form. What we see here is that the two candidates, him and Marine Le Pen, are almost identical on this issue," he said.

In a separate comment on the matter, Patrick Martin Genier, an expert on European and International Affairs at  Sciences Po, the Paris-based Institute of Political Studies noted to Sputnik that Macron will always remain a pro-European politician and will never initiate a 'nay' referendum on the country's exit from the European Union.

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