US Experts Slowly Admitting Ukraine Can’t Win, Hope for Stalemate
Ukraine has been throwing wave after wave of men and equipment at Russia's defensive lines, but has yet to make any significant gains. This has seemingly caused a shift in the Western narrative regarding the conflict.
US media has begun to shift gears and acknowledge the Ukraine conflict is more likely to not be the win Western leadership once touted, with one outlet quoting experts openly admitting Ukraine cannot defeat Russia on the battlefield, and that Russia never planned to conquer Ukraine or move West after the special military operation.
Steven Myers, an Air Force veteran and former adviser to the State Department told mainstream media that Russia’s tactics have been “completely inconsistent with conquest,” countering Western media and governments’ narrative that alleged Russia would attack other European nations after the special operation. Myers added that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s only goal was to keep Ukraine out of NATO.
“Strategically, this war was lost by both sides before it started. It will end in stalemate, which I now think was Putin’s intent from the get-go,” Myers said.
Meyers also pointed to unrealistic expectations set by NATO, the US and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky about what their tactics could achieve. Zelensky has consistently promised to return Ukraine to its pre-2014 borders, despite the situation on the ground making that a near impossibility.
“President Biden, NATO and Zelensky have trapped themselves in a Catch 22 of their own making – unable to deliver on unrealistic expectations they created,” Meyers said.
It should be noted that Meyers called for mediation to end the conflict in February, writing then
that “the situation is desperate” for Ukraine, and that it was time to “end this tragedy.”
However, the outlet also talked to Sean McFate, a professor of strategy at the National Defense University and Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service and a senior fellow of the notoriously pro-war Atlantic Council think tank.
But even McFate predicted Ukraine would be unable to expel Russia from its former territories, admitting Ukraine’s counteroffensive “has been floundering” and that “NATO is experiencing donor fatigue and disappointment with Zelensky’s bluster.” A feat that is causing the former comedian-turned-president to lose his credibility with his NATO allies, which he called “Ukraine’s main asset.”
That bluster, McFate said, has put Zelensky “in a box. He can’t win but he can’t afford to lose either.” He added that providing more weapons to Ukraine and expecting them to win is “the definition of insanity.”
The narrative in the West has so far been that Ukraine is winning the conflict, that Russia’s Army is on the verge of collapse and that a Ukrainian breakthrough is just around the corner. But after months of the same claims, the narrative appears to be shifting significantly, especially after it became apparent that Ukraine’s much-hyped counteroffensive would not provide the gains that its Western benefactors have awaited.
US officials, however, appear to be keeping a brave face despite Ukraine’s failures. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby earlier insisted the front has not devolved into a stalemate and said Ukrainian forces were “moving.” However, even he admitted that they are “not going as far, or as fast, as they would like.”
On Tuesday, it was reported the “main thrust” of Ukraine’s counteroffensive had begun, with thousands of reserve troops being sent to the front line. But no major breakthroughs of Russian lines have been reported and estimates suggest Ukraine continues to lose high numbers of troops and equipment, including several more Western tanks in the area near the Rabotine settlement in the Zaporozhye region.
The specified area has become known as “Bradley Square” after several US M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles, along with German Leopard 2A6 tanks, were destroyed at the scene.
Since Ukraine started increasing attacks in the region earlier this week, even more destroyed M2 Bradleys have been piling up.
One senior Pentagon aide told a New York-based newspaper that the latest push will be “the big test” for Ukraine. Putin reported on Sunday that more than 26,000 Ukrainian troops have been killed since the counteroffensive began.