Ukraine’s current military recruitment campaign has fallen short of expectations, a recent article from The Conversation suggested. The recruitment plan was first announced on April 16, 2024, with the goal of enlisting “hundreds of thousands of young Ukrainian men”, the report claimed.
However, the effort has been met with “public skepticism, draft dodging and opposition to unpopular, heavy-handed attempts to root out those not heeding the call to sign up,” the report writes, adding that it has “left Ukraine struggling to fill the positions officials say are needed to beat back the invading army.”
Nicolai Petro, a professor of political science at the University of Rhode Island, sat down with Sputnik’s The Critical Hour on Monday. According to Petro, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s specific proposals on Ukraine, and world development in the future comes down to “two points”.
“Putin simplified the path to negotiation, because from Russia's perspective it's now boiled down to just two points,” said Petro. “Withdraw Ukrainian troops from the four regions that have been admitted to Russia and, secondly, issue an official statement. Ukraine should issue an official statement that it does not intend to join NATO. And as soon as that happens, Russia is willing to commit to an immediate ceasefire and peace negotiations.”
“So why is this easier than what Ukraine proposed? Well, because Ukraine has ten sets of demands rather than just one from Russia's perspective, which is an official statement that Ukraine will not join NATO,” he added. “The second thing that's interesting about Russia's proposal is that it is offering something that Ukraine has not offered, which is an end to the bloodshed. In other words, you want to stop the fighting and the killing? Just withdraw troops.”
Issues with Ukraine’s draft also highlight the fundamental issue: without funding from Western allies, Ukraine is likely to “exhaust its resources long before Russia does”, The Conversation report writes.
In December of 2023, former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian armed forces, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi told leader Volodymyr Zelensky that he needed nearly 500,000 more troops. But a nationwide poll conducted at the end of March showed that Ukrainians believe only 10% of their draft-age acquaintances might respond to a call to serve.
“And thirdly,” the professor continued. “Putin's proposal essentially [shows the lie of] Western statements that Russia intends to conquer all of Ukraine and then all of Europe, because he now specifically says Russia's territorial ambitions are limited to the four occupied regions of Crimea, which is why I think it is aimed primarily not at Ukraine.”
“The Ukrainian, Western position is we cannot negotiate and we don't want to negotiate because negotiation itself would be an acknowledgment of an immoral act of aggression, and therefore there's nothing to negotiate, which is why we have this summit in Switzerland not even including Russia.”
“So we're not actually negotiating or willing to negotiate anything,” Petro said. “We're simply making a statement of defiance against a Russian invasion versus the other side, in Russia's case, which is saying [Russia] feels threatened by NATO's expansion, which is why [they are] taking these actions. There's also humanitarian reasons, but we are, we have always been and continue to be willing to negotiate on what our mutual security interests are.”
Sputnik’s Wilmer Leon noted that the US has a habit of “capitulation” when it comes to negotiating. He suggests that the US is only willing to talk, if who they are negotiating with meets their demands first. Russia has repeatedly indicated that they are willing to discuss peace plan negotiations, and said this spring that an aborted 2022 peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could still be used as the basis for new negotiations.
“I think the Russian position, and this is what I think Putin has articulated not only in this last speech, there is a win-win scenario here. And the win-win scenario is: let's have an agreement that allows for mutual security for all sides. And Putin, a number of times in his recent speech, reiterated that Russia has tried to take into account what are legitimate Ukrainian security interests,” said Petro.