"Moreover, it would imply that the Mediterranean Sea would be a pass-through for the US/UK to connect the Atlantic and the Indo-Pacific Sea regions, impeding European policy towards the Mediterranean Sea and the North African region. France cannot accept it. The others, including Italy, think the same but cannot say it," the analyst pointed out.
"Spain will soon go through a critical election and Italy is, until now, locked in the Atlantic narrative and policies. Macron’s hope is that by the EU [parliamentary] elections in 2024, a new political majority is shaped, possibly marginalizing the socialists and social democrats and paving the way for a core group of France, Italy and Spain giving direction to the EU to reassert and defend national interests. If this hope becomes true, together with a change in US leadership, Macron’s hope may become real," Raffone argued.
Dwelling on Macron’s reported defiance regarding the US, the expert noted that the French president “considers his country’s interests at an early stage on any issue, which is reasonable given he is the president of France.”