- Sputnik International, 1920
Analysis
Enjoy in-depth, acute analysis of the most pressing local, regional and global trends at Sputnik!

Erosion of US Credibility in NATO Approaches Critical Threshold – Expert

© AP Photo / Czarek SokolowskiUS troops, part of a NATO mission to enhance Poland's defence, are getting ready for an official welcoming ceremony in Orzysz, northeastern Poland, Thursday, April 13, 2017
US troops, part of a NATO mission to enhance Poland's defence, are getting ready for an official welcoming ceremony in Orzysz, northeastern Poland, Thursday, April 13, 2017 - Sputnik International, 1920, 12.02.2026
Subscribe
Polls show NATO allies are increasingly considering the US unreliable – but that perception does not emerge in a vacuum, says Adriel Kasonta, a London-based foreign affairs analyst.
"It is the cumulative effect of a decade of strategic whiplash," Kasonta tells Sputnik. "From European and Canadian vantage points, Washington’s foreign policy has appeared less like a steady hand on the tiller and more like a pendulum."
Three dynamics stand out:
The oscillation between US administrations has been stark: One praised alliances as sacred; the next questioned NATO’s value. Even when policy — like Eastern Europe troop deployments — remained consistent, the rhetoric unsettled allies: in security politics, tone shapes deterrence
The US strategic pivot to Asia has been seen as downgrading Europe. The Indo-Pacific is now Washington’s primary theater. That fuels European anxiety that they are no longer central to America's grand strategy
US domestic polarization has undermined confidence in continuity. Allies now judge not just one administration’s intentions but whether commitments will survive the next election
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at a press conference on the results of Russian diplomacy in 2025. - Sputnik International, 1920, 11.02.2026
World
BRICS, SCO Operate by Consensus, NATO Decisions Made When US Says 'Hush' - Lavrov

Recent Sharp Decline in Trust

While a similar poll in 2025 reflected similar concerns, this year's findings show an even sharper decline in trust.
Kasonta outlines two major causes for the slide:
The Ukraine conflict has stress-tested the alliance: US support for the Kiev regime faltered under domestic political pressure. What if the same could happen to Washington's obligations to its NATO allies?
Explicit political rhetoric questioning article 5 — the alliance’s collective defense clause — has crossed a psychological Rubicon
"Allies are preparing for a future in which American engagement is selective and contingent," Kasonta says. "The erosion is less about a single event and more about cumulative uncertainty reaching a tipping point."
Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte  - Sputnik International, 1920, 11.02.2026
World
US Pivoting From Europe to Indo-Pacific - NATO Chief
Newsfeed
0
To participate in the discussion
log in or register
loader
Chats
Заголовок открываемого материала